Tuesday, 6 March 2012

Who has the upper hand in the Premiership title race?


We all know, and have known for some time now, that the Premiership title race has become a two-horse race due to the two Manchester clubs running away from the chasing pack, Tottenham have been the closest to the runaway two but after the last couple of results it looks set to be between Man United and Man City who are separated by just two points and 2nd place Man United are 11 points ahead of 3rd place Tottenham who's last couple of results have seen them slip from outside contenders to just 4 points ahead of 4th place Arsenal.

So who is favourite to win the title? At the moment the upper hand goes to Man City due to them being two points ahead of their local rivals and boasting the best squad in the Premiership and the considerable backing of owner Sheikh Mansour (£800 million spent in three years). This backing from the owner has seen them attract some of the world's brightest players such as Sergio Aguero, Yaya Toure and David Silva to name but a few, not only with the club's considerable bank balance and wage budget in mind but the club's ambition to succeed. Last season, Man City won their first trophy since the 1976 league cup by beating Stoke City 1 - 0 in the F.A. cup final and this signaled the start of a catapult in fortunes for Man City on the pitch. Fast forward to the current time and Man City have seen themselves indulge in Champions League football, which they are sure to replicate next year and they also went on an early rampage in the Premiership. Over the winter period their form slipped but there was hardly any doubting that with the quality in their squad that they would bounce back and try to resume control of the league. One of the two major blips on Man City's season was their 3rd round F.A cup loss to Man United which happened in very controversial circumstances (Vincent Kompany's sending off was not only a huge turning point in the game but a huge talking point in the English football) and also their semi-final knockout to Liverpool in the league cup. In the league Man City have performed very well and with a lot of their doubted players such as Gareth Barry, Joleon Lescott and Edin Dzeko stepping up this year, it has helped Man City become a squad of stars, not a squad with a few stars. Roberto Mancini is another reason for City's upturn in fortunes, the Italian manager has been given time to mould the squad and make it his own after taking over from Mark Hughes in December 2009 and has brought the best out of many of the current stars of the first-team, the team has had time to gel together and they have been able to play for a manager who's future has not been in doubt. Many of City's players have also performed outstandingly and consistently throughout the season, players who are sure-fire picks like Joe Hart, Vincent Kompany, Micah Richards, Yaya Toure, David Silva and Sergio Aguero have formed a sturdy base on which Mancini can build and while these players have been consistently brilliant, Mancini has had back-up players like Mario Balotelli, Pablo Zabaleta and Samir Nasri who have all had good spells of form. 

Man United are City's closest rivals, not just in terms of geographically but in terms of the title race too. Sir Alex has built a squad of international's that consistently play well and will work hard until the dying moment of any game (like the recent 3 - 3 draw away to Chelsea shows where they were 3 - 0 down). But therein lies two of Man United's biggest threats, the first being Sir Alex himself. Sir Alex has been in the top flight for over 20 years and in recent years his record is astounding, his man-management skills (as seen with the likes of Carlos Tevez and Wayne Rooney) led him to being not only being respected for his managing on the pitch, but management off the pitch too. He also has the upper hand on Mancini in knowing how to win a Premiership title, many times Sir Alex's side seem to have been down and out or second favourite in a title race and have clawed themselves back to win it, which is why they've seen non-stop success for many years. Man United's second biggest threat is their team spirit, they have a never say die attitude which resonates right from Sir Alex himself to every fringe player in the squad and every player is happy in his role. Sir Alex's transfer policy this year has also been nothing short of remarkable, with the retiring Edwin Van Der Sar needing to be replaced he shelled out £18 million on the much-maligned David De Gea, but recently the Spaniard has repaid his price-tag with a series of point-saving stops. With Ryan Giggs nearing retirement, Fergie knew it was time to replace him and get some back-up on the wings, so he signed Ashley Young who has consistently produced good performances since his move from Aston Villa last summer. With Man United's ageing back four, Sir Alex need to buy long-term replacements that he knew the club's future would be in good hands with, so he bought Chris Smalling and Phil Jones who have both had stellar first seasons in Man United's back line, probably better than even Sir Alex himself could have predicted. To bring back Paul Scholes after his retirement just last summer was a master-stroke too, Sir Alex probably couldn't have picked a better short-term midfield cover just until the end of the season to help keep Man United's title hopes alive. Man United's remaining fixtures see them have the upper-hand on Man City:

United's remaining fixtures:

  • West Brom (H)
  • Wolves (A)
  • Fulham (H)
  • Blackburn (A)
  • QPR (H)
  • Wigan Athletic (A)
  • Aston Villa (H)
  • Everton (H)
  • Manchester City (A)
  • Swansea City (H)
  • Sunderland (A)

City's remaining fixtures:

  • Swansea (A)
  • Chelsea (H)
  • Stoke (A)
  • Sunderland (H)
  • Arsenal (A)
  • West Brom (H)
  • Norwich (A)
  • Wolves (A)
  • Manchester United (H)
  • Newcastle (A)
  • QPR (H)
With the remaining fixtures you can see Man City have the trickier ties, having to face Chelsea, Arsenal and Man United but both clubs will be looking for victories in all their remaining games. It might all boil down to the Manchester derby on April 30th and if it does, what a game that will be to see who has the upper-hand by then going into the game and also, coming out of it.

Who do you think will win the Premiership?

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